HomeInvestingUp 98% in a year! Can this 'overlooked' FTSE 100 stock continue...

Up 98% in a year! Can this ‘overlooked’ FTSE 100 stock continue to soar?

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It’s onerous to maintain monitor of each inventory on the FTSE 100. I’ve solely glanced at Commonplace Chartered (LSE: STAN) from time to time and because it seems, I’ve missed rather a lot. However can the Asia-focused financial institution’s outstanding efficiency proceed?

Commonplace Chartered has soared 98% prior to now 12 months, and its shares are up 246% over two years, with dividends on prime. It had a stellar 2024, with full-year outcomes, printed in February, exhibiting an 18% leap in pre-tax revenue to $6bn.

The share worth received one other increase from final week’s half-year 2025 outcomes, printed on 31 July. These revealed a 26% rise in pre-tax revenue to $4.38bn, flying previous analysts’ forecasts of $3.83bn.

The shares are smashing it

The financial institution additionally introduced a $1.3bn share buyback and elevated its interim dividend by 37% to 12.3 US cents a share. CEO Invoice Winters hailed a “robust first-half efficiency” pushed by its concentrate on cross-border and prosperous banking.

Analysts have raised their expectations in consequence, with Shore Capital growing its truthful worth estimate from 1,270p to 1,355p. That’s really under right now’s share worth of 1,383p, which suggests the inventory might have run its course for now.

Shore isn’t the one analyst suggesting the inventory has gone so far as it may possibly right now. The 15 analysts offering one-year worth targets have a median forecast of round 1,342p. That suggests a small dip of roughly 3% from present ranges. These estimates are more likely to pre-date the 11% spike over the previous month, however affirm my suspicion that the enjoyable could also be over for now.

FTSE 100 banks are all flying

I say Commonplace Chartered is neglected, however clearly some buyers have seen it. What I actually imply is that the large FTSE 100 banks corresponding to Barclays, NatWest Group and Lloyds Banking Group are inclined to dominate investor consideration. For these searching for Asia publicity, HSBC Holdings tends to seize the limelight.

All the most important banks have loved a big re-rating in recent times. I personally maintain Lloyds. Though it has lagged barely, partly because of the motor finance promoting scandal, I’m hardly complaining.

For earnings seekers, HSBC, Lloyds and NatWest provide tempting trailing yields of 5.23%, 4.11% and 4.78%, respectively. Commonplace Chartered’s yield sits round 2%.

The outlook is optimistic, however banks carry dangers. Commonplace Chartered’s deep Asia publicity, particularly to China, leaves it weak to worsening commerce tensions with the US. The Chinese language financial system faces structural challenges unrelated to geopolitical rivalry, although that hasn’t weighed on Commonplace Chartered during the last 12 months.

This inventory might decelerate

Donald Trump’s tariffs might have an effect too, hitting international progress and consumer exercise. However, UK-focused banks face home challenges. Regardless of the place they function, banks should navigate dangers.

Regardless of a powerful run, I imagine Commonplace Chartered stays value contemplating for long-term buyers who need publicity to the Asia banking market. It nonetheless appears respectable worth, with a price-to-earnings ratio of round 11. So do all of the FTSE 100 banks. But I believe that after the bumper sector-wide restoration, issues will cool down a bit of now.

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