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After a lot thought, I’m coming round to the concept James Bond would possibly take a punt on Aston Martin (LSE:AML) shares. In spite of everything, he’s by no means been one to draw back from threat, and I’d say there’s a good quantity connected to this inventory.
With this in thoughts, listed here are a few issues which may tempt 007 to drag the set off on Aston Martin shares (assuming, in fact, that the fictional spy existed within the type of an adventurous investor right this moment).
High-tier model
The primary cause somebody like Bond could need to make investments is the distinctive model. Amongst a cohort of the super-rich, and many petrolheads, Aston Martin’s automobiles embody model and glamour.
I’ve seen this firsthand out and about. Whether or not it’s the brand new DB12 S or the older fashions, Aston Martins at all times flip heads. Solely actually Ferrari and Lamborghini do one thing comparable, in my expertise.
The agency says it at the moment has “probably the most trendy and broadest ranges within the ultra-luxury excessive efficiency market“. I don’t assume that’s hype or exaggeration.
Plus, it’s lastly transport Valhalla supercars, which reportedly begin at £850,000 (earlier than personalisation choices seemingly take the value above £1m). Aston delivered over 200 of those automobiles within the first half of 2026, boosting gross margins by 590 foundation factors to 33.8%.
Monumental restoration potential
As we all know, 007 can also be keen on high-stakes poker video games. And one take a look at the share value chart tells us this can be a dicey funding — the inventory is down 94% in 5 years, ensuing within the firm being demoted from the FTSE 250 final month.
Many issues have gone incorrect over the previous few years, nevertheless it’s the carmaker’s dire financials which have carried out the harm. Constantly broad losses mixed with a confused stability sheet (internet debt was £1.55bn on the finish of June) have pressured buyers to push the ejector button.
Nonetheless, with a market cap of simply £400m or so in opposition to anticipated gross sales of £1.52bn this yr, a profitable restoration may ship big upside for shareholders.
With the inventory on its proverbial bottom round 40p, this might be the type of high-risk, high-reward play that appeals to Bond.
Licence to print cash?
So, may this inventory make risk-tolerant buyers a fortune? It’s not unattainable. However provided that — and it’s a giant if — the agency can stem its losses and generate optimistic money circulate.
Sadly, the backdrop of US tariffs, inflation and geopolitical turbulence within the Center East isn’t useful. Due to this fact, whereas the agency expects free money outflow to “materially enhance” this yr, I’m not but assured a couple of money-printing turnaround.
Even when Aston Martin reaches breakeven on an working foundation, which is feasible, it’ll nonetheless put up a big general loss resulting from its colossal debt pile. The fixed want for additional money injections to maintain the present on the highway alarms me.
Let’s be sincere, James Bond in all probability wouldn’t spend a lot time in an opulent resort bar poring over Aston Martin’s monetary statements. He’d in all probability simply stick a number of grand down on the shares and order one other vodka martini.
Whereas I really like the Aston Martin model, I’m not tempted to take a punt. For me, the dangers are just too excessive. I’ll depart this one to Bond.
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Ben McPoland owns shares in Ferrari.
