Picture supply: Getty Pictures
I feel Taylor Wimpey (LSE: TW.) might be among the best FTSE 100 shares to think about shopping for in a downturn. The share value is down 24% prior to now 5 years, and we’re taking a look at a 5% fall to this point in 2025.
However the slide has pushed the forecast dividend yield up as excessive as 8.1%, according to the payout for 2024.
Demand returning?
The yr to December 2024 noticed falls in construct completions and common promoting costs. However they had been solely modest dips, according to expectations. And contemplating the rate of interest stress on house shopping for, I favored what I noticed.
At outcomes time the present yr had began out nicely. The personal internet gross sales charge was up 12% to 0.75 per outlet per week. The corporate famous “some incremental enchancment in market pricing“.
On the unfavorable aspect, we had been informed that “now we have begun to see modest construct value inflation and we anticipate this to be low single digit for the yr“.
The ending of stamp obligation reduction, and discount in rate of interest lower expectations, might nonetheless harm. And I feel sentiment might stay bitter for a while but. However I’m contemplating shopping for some alongside my Persimmon holding.
Insurance coverage cycle
I charge the insurance coverage sector as needing the longest of long-term investing horizons. It actually could be very unstable, and the short-term ups and downs could be extreme. However what higher time to consider shopping for Authorized & Normal (LSE: LGEN) then when the ahead dividend yield’s as much as 9%?
We’ve seen a 28% share value rise prior to now 5 years. But it surely’s been falling since 2022, and over the previous 10 years the inventory’s been flat.
Authorized & Normal’s in a really aggressive enterprise. And together with the entire monetary sector, it’s on the sharp finish of hazard from financial stress. We’ve definitely seen loads of that in latest weeks, and I anticipate an entire load extra.
I actually do suppose the share value might nonetheless have a really rocky experience forward of it, at the very least within the shorter time period. However that is one other favorite sector of mine, having purchased Aviva shares some years in the past. I’m considering of including some Authorized & Normal.
Danger settling?
I charge WPP (LSE: WPP) as most likely the riskiest of the three I’m taking a look at in the present day. The media company has fallen from its former glory underneath founder Sir Martin Sorrell. And it’s been out of favour with traders since his controversial departure in 2018. The inventory droop since then means the WPP share value is again to the place it was at first of the present century.
However that does transfer the anticipated dividend yield as much as 7%. And the ahead price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio’s down underneath 9. In a primary quarter buying and selling replace Friday (25 April), the corporate reiterated its full-year steerage.
Talking of commerce conflict fears, the replace stated: “Whereas WPP shouldn’t be itself immediately affected by tariffs, they are going to affect a lot of our shoppers.” However to this point, the agency has “not seen any important change in consumer spending“.
Am I being rash to take a look at shopping for WPP now, with the financial outlook so shaky? Maybe, however I’m positively contemplating it.