The method of defining, testing, and launching new merchandise can really feel chaotic. So how will we improve the percentages of successful, and reduce the time it takes to get to “proper”?
That is one thing I’ve spent my entire profession fascinated by. I’m a serial entrepreneur, finest identified for founding Zynga, which pioneered social gaming with hits like FarmVille and Phrases With Associates, in 2007. We achieved $1 billion in income inside 4 years, and went public in 2011. (In 2022, Zynga was valued at $12.7 billion when it merged with Take-Two Interactive, finest identified for Grand Theft Auto.) I additionally cofounded a enterprise capital agency with Reid Hoffman, and we backed corporations together with SpaceX.
Reid is a good friend and lifelong collaborator, and he calls me an concept generator. However my problem has at all times been bringing my concepts to life. That’s true for everybody, in a way: All of us have concepts that we by no means pursue. Actual life can really feel like a beatdown. As soon as we begin imagining the numerous steps essential to implement our concept, it could really feel overwhelming, costly, and lots much less enjoyable. Typically, that’s after we determine that perhaps the concept wasn’t that nice. Even after we do pursue an concept, we’re often compelled to make painful trade-offs, with time as our main forex. The way in which to vary this equation is to massively speed up the velocity at which we construct.
With Zynga, to be able to survive, I needed to be proper about which merchandise had one of the best shot at success — so I developed a easy framework. I name it Confirmed Higher New. It grew to become a faith inside Zynga, and has unfold to lots of my fellow product makers.
Confirmed Higher New is a scientific method to producing successful merchandise sooner. Its core worth is in isolating really new concepts after which testing them quickly to get correct buyer suggestions. It protects us from our urge to make every little thing higher, avoiding wasted cycles and false indicators. And it stops us from reinventing options that another person already perfected. That manner, we are able to spend our time and vitality on innovation that really excites us and our customers.
Picture Credit score: Nicolás Ortega
Begin with what’s confirmed.
With a purpose to implement the “Confirmed” a part of this formulation, there’s one concept that each product maker should get snug with: Copying what already works (legally).
I get it. There’s an inherent pressure in actually going after the “Confirmed.” All of us need to be revered by our friends, so our egos maintain us again. Copying additionally goes in opposition to each intuition that we’ve as product makers: We need to innovate! Copying different folks’s work can really feel distasteful, mistaken, unfair, and never one thing we’d take delight in. In my expertise, the extra junior the product groups, the more durable they struggle to not copy and even look as in the event that they had been copying.
However the biggest artists and product makers have usually been one of the best at copying what’s already on the market; they’ve stood on the shoulders of giants. Steve Jobs, the grandmaster of product making, famously mentioned, “Good artists copy; nice artists steal.” (Sarcastically, he stole this quote from Picasso, who was a grasp at tracing and copying different artists’ works earlier than he created his personal.) Solely a grasp craftsman can spot excellence and be snug copying it.
In case you’re really bold, you might want to cease worrying about getting respect out of your friends. What seems modern to your clients is probably not spectacular to the remainder of your trade.
Steve Jobs spoke about this in 1997, when he addressed considered one of his first developer convention audiences in regards to the new Mac. “This entire notion of being so proprietary in each side of what we do has actually damage us. It is likely to be 10% higher, however often, it finally ends up being about 50% worse.”
In fact, if all we did as product makers was copy, folks would don’t have any motive to make use of our product as an alternative of no matter we had been copying. In order that’s the place our innovation zones of “Higher” and “New” are available.
“Higher” refers to one thing within the Confirmed product that you are able to do higher within the eyes of the present viewers, in order that 10 out of 10 of these customers will say, “Yeah, that’s higher!”
“New” refers back to the novel concept that’s our actual innovation zone. It’s one thing so new that it’s going to get folks to attempt, discuss, and even love our product. Right here, we’ve to acknowledge simply how laborious it’s to get an precise new concept that the world is prepared for and desires. One in every of my maxims inside Zynga, repeated to this present day, was “all New fails.” It’s to not discourage innovation, however quite to encourage experimentation and curiosity with out presuming success. “New” is the shiny penny everybody needs to spend all their time on. We put all our hopes and desires in imagining how our new concept can change the world. The disciplined product maker is aware of to isolate the brand new zone to derisk their product.
Right here’s the method: Begin with sufficient “Confirmed” that your product doesn’t fail for the mistaken causes. Discover “Higher” if you happen to can, as a result of it’s going to improve your odds of success. Then, attempt heaps and plenty of remoted “New” concepts on high of your product till you get to one thing that does work. This means of remoted innovation will enable you to massively change your odds of success to provide you with a successful product.
Case Examine: Zynga Poker
The quickest method to perceive Confirmed Higher New is to see the breakdown for the unique Zynga Poker recreation from 2007.
Basically, we took the confirmed desk structure and recreation mechanics from on-line poker, made it higher by eradicating the obtain, and added a new characteristic: actual folks, usually your pals, with their footage on the desk.
Zynga got here from my deep intuition that video games might change into a day by day behavior for busy adults. They simply wanted permission to play, which got here within the type of being social and due to this fact considerably productive. Video games had at all times been “empty energy” — by no means thought of an excellent use of time. I knew social gaming might be huge.
However Zynga Poker was so unambitious and noninnovative that it was embarrassing. It was only a poker recreation that regarded precisely like each different — besides for 2 easy adjustments.
One change — our higher characteristic — was prompt play with no obtain, as a result of we constructed it in Flash for the online (which was novel on the time). This was an enormous deal, as a result of I’ve at all times discovered you lose 80% to 90% of your viewers while you require a obtain. No different video games might afford to supply prompt play over the online as a result of all of them provided real-money playing, the place safety was essential. We had a bonus as a result of we had been pursuing a free mannequin.
Our different change was our new characteristic: displaying gamers’ actual identities with their Fb profile footage as an alternative of random, creepy avatars. By isolating our new facet to purely social parts, we might take a look at our core speculation with out reinventing every little thing else. After we noticed that 25% of individuals had been becoming a member of their buddies at tables, we knew we had been onto one thing massive.
We known as this social recreation mechanics, and it grew to become Zynga’s total innovation and development engine. With social recreation mechanics, we constructed one thing nobody had provided earlier than: the mixing of a participant’s social community into their recreation board. This was how we disrupted the sport trade.
Case Examine: Slack
Now let’s have a look at how Confirmed Higher New works in a completely completely different trade.
In 2012, Stewart Butterfield realized he needed to make a tough pivot. His firm, which had been constructing a large multiplayer recreation known as Glitch, was low on cash with no prospects of extra funding. Folks on the firm requested themselves, “What can we do?” and realized that they had this one inside engineering device all of them used. That was Slack.
Slack completely carried out the Confirmed Higher New mannequin in opposition to HipChat, an current group collaboration device. HipChat was a well-liked chat product used inside most massive enterprises to handle inside communications, primarily between engineers. Right here was an enterprise product everybody had relied on that wasn’t enjoyable. As a result of Slack was the product of a recreation firm, they constructed a extra “cuddly” consumer interface on high of what was functionally nonetheless HipChat. Slack’s Confirmed Higher New technique was to supply the very same product, however make it higher with an interface that felt extra pleasant. I don’t even bear in mind whether or not they had something new initially. I do keep in mind that the product greeted you with 25 completely different phrases for whats up.
When the corporate launched the product as Slack, it unfold virally: Eight thousand corporations signed up inside 24 hours.Everybody beloved it — however they couldn’t clarify why. Inside Zynga, our IT group was rolling their eyes: “There’s nothing completely different. Why are you forcing us to get this?” However the massive concept of Slack was making very small improvements that had been very significant to the top customers (to not the IT division). The product unfold by way of work teams and surpassed HipChat in a 12 months. Ultimately, Salesforce purchased Slack for $27.7 billion, making it one of many largest acquisitions within the software program trade on the time.
Picture Credit score: Nicolás Ortega
Utilizing AI for Confirmed Higher New
AI is a tremendous device to get us leverage in implementing Confirmed Higher New, and has already change into a vital and magical device for product making. However up to now, it could’t substitute what we people add: creativity, empathy, and style.
I had lots of enjoyable asking ChatGPT to ship a Confirmed Higher New evaluation of a number of hit merchandise to clarify their success — after which to assist us generate concepts for Higher and New merchandise. What I discovered was that AI is nice at wanting backward to research and clarify the world round us. However as of right this moment, it doesn’t have the flexibility to differentiate between false and true indicators. It may well’t ask 10 customers what they’d say “Yeah!” to, and it has but to match the human potential to foretell and picture new merchandise, new markets, and new worlds.
AI and LLMs supply the potential to massively speed up Confirmed Higher New, however are additionally prone to homogenize, decreasing each quirkiness and the potential to shock and delight folks. GPT can get you to a B-plus in seconds, however it would possibly really be pulling you away from attending to an A.
In a manner, that’s not too completely different from the dangers of the Confirmed Higher New formulation itself. Years of deploying Confirmed Higher New have proven me that the formulation can change into a crutch. It may well ship false indicators within the type of B-plus merchandise that by no means get to A-plus. Since you are copying profitable merchandise, you could get constructive indicators even when your distinctive new concept isn’t that good.
A core philosophical query about product growth is whether or not it’s an artwork or a science. My reply is that it’s each: The artwork is style, and the science is course of.
The perfect product makers don’t chase novelty for its personal sake; they begin with what’s been confirmed, construct with self-discipline, innovate the place it counts, and know when to interrupt the principles to ship one thing magical.
Tailored from Life on the Velocity of Play. Copyright © 2026 by Mark Pincus. Revealed June 23 by Harper Enterprise, an imprint of HarperCollins Publishers. Reprinted by permission.
The method of defining, testing, and launching new merchandise can really feel chaotic. So how will we improve the percentages of successful, and reduce the time it takes to get to “proper”?
That is one thing I’ve spent my entire profession fascinated by. I’m a serial entrepreneur, finest identified for founding Zynga, which pioneered social gaming with hits like FarmVille and Phrases With Associates, in 2007. We achieved $1 billion in income inside 4 years, and went public in 2011. (In 2022, Zynga was valued at $12.7 billion when it merged with Take-Two Interactive, finest identified for Grand Theft Auto.) I additionally cofounded a enterprise capital agency with Reid Hoffman, and we backed corporations together with SpaceX.
Reid is a good friend and lifelong collaborator, and he calls me an concept generator. However my problem has at all times been bringing my concepts to life. That’s true for everybody, in a way: All of us have concepts that we by no means pursue. Actual life can really feel like a beatdown. As soon as we begin imagining the numerous steps essential to implement our concept, it could really feel overwhelming, costly, and lots much less enjoyable. Typically, that’s after we determine that perhaps the concept wasn’t that nice. Even after we do pursue an concept, we’re often compelled to make painful trade-offs, with time as our main forex. The way in which to vary this equation is to massively speed up the velocity at which we construct.
