Model-cited AI Overview CTR fell 61% from Q3 to This fall, in line with a brand new report from Seer Interactive, however the clicks on these pages barely moved.
The drop appears alarming on a dashboard, although it isn’t fairly what it appears. Seer’s evaluation of 5.47 million queries throughout 53 manufacturers clearly reveals what’s occurring
What Occurred In This fall
In September, brand-cited pages in AI Overviews acquired 15.8 million impressions and 398,798 clicks, with a CTR of two.52%.
In October, impressions doubled to 33.1 million, and clicks elevated barely to 400,271, however CTR dropped to 1.21% as fast impression progress outpaced clicks.
This isn’t a efficiency collapse however a math concern brought on by sooner impression progress than clicks.
November Is A Completely different Story
November’s impressions rose to 39.5 million, however clicks dropped to 301,783, and CTR fell to 0.76%.
One thing pulled clicks down whereas visibility elevated, and Seer’s information can’t clarify why. For This fall, each patterns mix right into a 61% determine, displaying it’s vital to research months individually in Search Console information.
What Seer Can’t Inform You
The company is evident on one restrict: it could actually’t decide whether or not the October impression surge was on account of Google serving AI Overviews for extra queries the place manufacturers have been already cited, or as a result of the manufacturers earned citations via their website positioning. Each explanations match, and neither might be confirmed with no detailed evaluation of the account.
Web sites with related information face the identical ambiguity. Rising impressions are good if earned, however noise in the event that they end result from Google’s selections. Your dashboard may not make clear this with out account-level question evaluation.
How This Matches With Previous AIO CTR Protection
A number of research present decrease CTRs when AI Overviews seem. Ahrefs analyzed 146 million outcomes and located a 20.5% AIO set off price, which was increased for informational and query queries.
A SISTRIX evaluation in Germany reported a 59% drop in CTR at place one with AIOs, and Pew Analysis discovered that U.S. customers clicked 8% of the time with AIOs versus 15% with out.
Seer’s October information raises the query of whether or not a falling CTR on cited pages at all times means fewer clicks or can point out higher visibility with the identical click on depend.
Different Findings Price Noting
Model-cited pages get about 120% extra clicks per impression than uncited pages on AIO SERPs, however cited pages lag behind no-AIO pages by 38%. A quotation helps, however it doesn’t restore earlier rankings.
Seer stories that natural CTR on AIO SERPs rose from 1.3% in December 2025 to 2.4% in February 2026, however calls this a leveling off quite than a restoration and advises towards forecasting based mostly on two months’ information.
Why This Issues
A falling CTR in your This fall information doesn’t essentially imply you’re shedding clicks; verify impressions for a similar interval earlier than assuming there’s an issue.
Benchmarks present basic tendencies, however your information tells your particular story. If clicks keep flat or develop sooner than impressions, it’s a special concern than precise decline.
Wanting Forward
The primary factor to look at is whether or not added AI Overview visibility begins driving extra clicks, or whether or not cited pages proceed absorbing extra impressions with out a lot visitors upside.
If that sample holds, the worth of being cited might look completely different from what CTR alone suggests. You might have to separate visibility, clicks, and quotation protection earlier than deciding whether or not AI Overview publicity helps or just altering how efficiency will get measured
Featured Picture: TaniaKitura/Shutterstock
